If Sinn Fein believed that they had enough support to win a referendum, I have no doubt they would call for one.
I believe the time is close to this. NI is almost full circle to where it was a hundred years ago. We will very soon have a voting majority of Republicans, at which point the question becomes, do we need reunification or can we live under the banner of GB with her financial night and stability but effectively be run as if we were Ireland
This is a communal “we” not me. My personal opinion is no matter who or what side is in power, changes and legislation are dictated far higher up the chain than who we vote for and the current powers that be are merely caretakers for someone else ideology.
Anne Delaney responded with
I think you’re too negative about democracy – in Ireland, anyway, and perhaps in the UK as well – and too positive about the UK’s financial might and stability.
There appears to be an oddly child-like trust in NI in relation to UK – what? – infallibility. Perhaps this arises from NI not having much input into their own governance?
I really don’t know. But I do know that I have been amazed, for example, at the lassitude of the DUP – the biggest NI party, after all – in relation to the economic future of NI.
Their only real concern is the Union. They should be lobbying Westminster, lobbying the EU, the Republic in relation to trade, taxes, access etc, producing position papers and policy documents on the economic and social future of NI etc. etc. – suggesting a way forward.
But instead it’s all about their Union – a one dimensional mindset.
Their major economic achievement in all of this is the simplistic one of blackmailing Theresa May into giving them a billion. Child-like stuff, indeed. The RHA may be a case in point as well.
Ireland has its problems – like every country – but, looking at NI now, I can’t help being glad that we took the path of independence.
to which i replied:
I guess that’s the beauty of democracy, we are all entitled to an opinion. Should NI win a referendum on re-unification and RoI agrees to it as well, then, who covers the £10B a year that the UK Govt provides to keep NI alive, if it falls to RoI, can you honestly see the Irish tax payer (2.2 million of them) agreeing to cover this shortfall – £4500/person in tax per year or £2100/person/year if taking the whole country. compared to £151/person/year in the UK.
Obviously, if the EU stepped in to cover this, then a completely different story, but would they? who knows. Ultimately, the safer, logical option for republicans is to bide time a bit more, and have a republican government, keeping NI exactly as it is. For unionists, ultimately, they need to create a bigger population in order to win back control, as uniquely here, people vote on those lines, not on policy, so effectively, at least here in NI, democracy is broken, but i maintain this is a worldwide phenomenon, on a much larger scale than voting for what your da or granda did.
In the bigger world, Individuals that stump up 100/200/500 million to get a person elected are not doing it for their own sense of well being, there is a quid pro quo here, no matter what the voting classes think and want to believe.